Dow Theory Guru
Explains How to Use SPY's and DIA's to Profit
CHICAGO, Mar 28, 2002 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- As the old saying goes "Timing is
everything." So how do you know when it's time to buy and when to sell? Jack Schannep
editor of the Schannep Timing Indicator shares his secrets that have gained an average of
46% during BUY Signal Indicator periods. http://www.featuredexpert2.zacks.comHere are the highlights from the Featured Expert column:
If you're sifting through all the Bull protagonists, you
will want to listen to what Jack Schannep editor of the Schannep Timing Indicator.
Fortunately for subscribers of his newsletter, you can chat with Jack Wednesday April 3rd
at 4:30 PM EST at Zacks.com.
By following his BUY Signal indicators, the chances are
very good (15 out of 16 times) that the market will rise (an average of +46%) and that
will usually cause most stocks to rise. Knowing when to buy is great but it's only half
the battle. It is under SELL Signals that Schannep's out performance versus Buy & Hold
can occur, and that was the case in 11 of the 16 SELLs since 1953. Every Bear market since
then has been signaled by my Indicator. SELL Signals have avoided, on average, over 55% of
Bear Market losses.
Can you believe the Dow Theory Buy signal and that this
Really is a Bull market?
I realize that some Dow Theorists do not recognize that the
Theory has generated a Buy signal, and none have agreed with my announcement of one at
9587 last November. The problem evolves around the definition of 'secondary reaction' as
described by Charles Dow and his immediate successors. A secondary reaction is a counter
trend move against the primary stock market trend. Mr. Dow had written over 100 years ago
that "The secondary movement covers a period ranging from ten days to sixty days,
averaging probably between thirty and forty days." And finally, "a rally or a
decline is defined as one or more daily movements resulting in a net reversal of direction
exceeding 3% of the price of either average".
Confused? Look at it this way: After a Bear market such as
we were in throughout 2000-01 during which both the Dow Jones and the Standard & Poors
Averages dropped over -16%, when the market then turns up it can either be a secondary
reaction within the bear market or it can be a new primary up trend. Even after the first
prolonged rally in 1998 other theorists were put off by the fact that "the Transports
only retraced 26.9. This time the Industrials only retraced 31.7% and the Transports 28.3%
yet at least one of the previously rigid theorists joined in with a Buy some 780 points
later. My Buy signal was derived after the 13.8 to 15.9% rises on the Industrials and
Transports respectively from their 9/21 and 9/20 lows. But does that define a Bull market?
No-o-o, it doesn't but advances on both the Dow Jones and Standard & Poors over +19%
does. That is the reciprocal of the -16% definition of a Bear market, a +19% advance
offsets a -16% decline just as a -16% decline offsets a +19% advance. By almost anyone's
definition this IS a bull market, which should answer the rest of the opening question. So
how do you play it? The surest way to participate is to diversify, diversify, diversify,
and then exercise patience. I use the Dow Jones Index Fund and the Standard&Poors500
Index Fund to assure results in the range that the major markets attain.
If you've ever wanted to learn how to time the market chat
with Jack Wednesday April 3rd at 4:30 PM EST at Zacks.com or to find out more about the
Schannep Timing Indicator. http://www.featuredexpert2.zacks.com
About Zacks Featured Experts
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