Jack Schannep has been around for a while. He's seen all types of
market environments. However, with all this knowledge and experience,
even he admits that this is a truly unique time for the marketplace, and
the country in general. Investors are looking for a place to turn to,
but unfortunately many are coming up empty. But through the Schannep
Timing Indicator & the Dow Theory newsletter, Schannep can help take
much of the mystery out of this market and keep you in the swing of
things. Through this Pro's insights, investors can uncover the best time
to put their money on the table, and, equally as important, the best
time to stay put. In today's Featured Expert, learn why Schannep
believes that now is a good time to be half in and half out of the
market, while waiting to see what happens next in this unbelievable time
in history.
These Are Unbelievable Times
OVERVIEW:
The mini-Bull market that started after 9/11 became the shortest Bull
market in the 20th and 21st centuries. It lasted just under 6 months and
only rose 29.1% from the post 9/11 low of 8,233 to 10,635 in March.
Now we are in danger of an even shorter one.
The move from the October 9th low of +22.6% on the Dow Jones to it's
high on November 28th and +20.9% for the S&P500 to it's high, qualified
as a Bull market. The timeframe of only 1.6 months is unprecedented
except for twice in 1931. It isn't officially over until and unless the
Dow and S&P 500 each drop 16% to 7502 and 788 respectively.
The BOTTOM LINE:
You remember "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times"
but beyond that, these are also the most unbelievable of times. The
market is still above the October lows and does not yet qualify for a
renewed bear market and yet, with world events so incredibly precarious
it seems prudent to be half in and half out, waiting to see what happens
next.
Time will presumably cure the earning side of the price to earnings
equation as well as the geopolitical dilemma. As Jack Schannep posted in
the Subscribers Area, a third and unprecedented capitulation would occur
if Diamonds (AMEX: DIA ) were to drop to 7350, the NYSE to 4393,
and the Spiders (AMEX: SPY ) to 777 THIS week. Those numbers
would be about 7250, 4350 and 768 NEXT week.
If it meets support above the October lows with a successful test
then this will have been the final 'shoulder' in the inverse 'head and
shoulders' pattern that Schannep wrote about in the last Letter. Such an
occurrence would point to a continuation of a new Bull market that was
previously confirmed. But in the meantime, and when in doubt, it is best
to straddle the fence with ½ IN the market and ½ OUT.
* * Reprinted with the permission of Zacks * *