Category: Blog

Realistic expectation from Trend following

posted on: December 5, 2022

most trades…neutral small p l occasionally big winner time waiting if 1 trade year dont at least 5/6 years to see advantage 2/3% outperformance 50% dd reducton want more?1 1. shorter term trading, more time intensive, less signal, 2. short also in Tf filter DT21 trades w/o cap…show pattern.

Disregard The Dow Theory At Your Own Peril

posted on: October 12, 2015

This article was originally published on Marketwatch on October 7, 2015 One of the few hypotheses of Charles Dow’s Original Theory is that “the theory is not infallible.” Despite that disclaimer, the record over the 100-plus years of its existence is really quite exceptional. In my book “Dow Theory for the 21st Century, Technical Indicators […]

Why You Must Have A Strategy For The Long-Run

posted on: August 12, 2015

The job of the financial media is to make sure that you continue to watch more financial media. The more people that watch, the more the financial media gets to stay in business. This past week is a great example of that. Towards the end last week, many pundits were talking about an impending Sell […]

Why Do Transports Matter In The 21st Century?

posted on: August 5, 2015

There is a lot of talk in the news right now about a potential market crash. This fear is fueled for many reasons, one of which is that the Dow Jones Industrial Index remains relatively strong while the Dow Jones Transportation Index has fallen. This is known as “Divergence.” While it is troubling, make sure […]

Investing With The Trends

posted on: January 14, 2015

There has been quite a bit of volatility in the markets of late. On one station you hear that the bull market still has lots of room to run. On another station the pundits are saying another financial crisis is right around the corner. If you do not have a strategy in place, it can […]

What does Providence have to do with your portfolio?

posted on: March 7, 2013

In 1877 a young farmer from Sterling, Connecticut wrote a piece for the Providence Sunday Dispatch regarding the transportation systems between New York and Providence, CT. This piece proved to be the seed for many more writings and articles by this young farmer turned business reporter, blossoming into a successful career that would establish the […]