|
|
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| Market High | SELL Signal | Market Low | Signal |
Total |
Percentage |
|||
| Date: | Level: | Date: | Level: | Date: | Level: | Points: |
Points: |
Avoided: |
| 8/56 | 49.74 | 8/56 | 48.25 | 10/57 | 38.98 | 9.27 |
10.76 |
86.2% |
| 12/61 | 72.64 | 5/62 | 63.57 | 6/62 | 52.32 | 11.25 |
20.32 |
55.4% |
| 2/66 | 94.06 | 5/66 | 90.90 | 10/66 | 73.20 | 17.70 |
20.86 |
84.9% |
| 11/68 | 108.37 | 3/69 | 98.65 | 5/70 | 69.29 | 29.36 |
39.08 |
75.1% |
| 1/73 | 120.24 | 2/73 | 113.16 | (10/73 | 109.16) | 4.00 |
||
| 11/73 | 98.66 | 10/74 | 62.28 | 36.38 |
57.96 |
62.8% |
||
| 9/76 | 107.83 | 10/77 | 92.34 | 3/78 | 86.90 | 5.44 |
20.93 |
26.0% |
| 2/80 | 118.44 | 10/78 | 96.03 | 3/80 | 98.22 | 20.22 |
20.22 |
100.0% |
| 1/81 | 138.12 | 8/81 | 122.79 | 8/82 | 102.42 | 20.37 |
35.70 |
57.1% |
| 8/87 | 336.77 | 10/87 | 282.70 | 12/87 | 223.92 | 58.78 |
112.85 |
52.1% |
| 7/90 | 368.95 | 8/90 | 311.51 | 10/90 | 295.46 | 16.05 |
73.49 |
21.8% |
| 7/98 | 1186.75 | 8/98 | 1042.51 | 8/98 | 957.28 | 85.23 | 229.47 | 37.1% |
| 3/00 | 1527.46 | 3/01* | 1150.53 | 9/01 | 965.80 | 184.73 | 561.66 |
32.9% |
| 3/02 | 1170.29 | 7/02 | 953.99 | 10/02 | 776.76 | 177.23 | 393.53 |
45.0% |
| 10/07 | 1565.17 | |||||||
| to-date |
Ave. above: 56.6% |
|||||||
Dates and Levels are S&P 500. Where "Market Low" is in
parentheses, it indicates a Schannep Timing Indicator BUY Signal, and is followed by a
ReSell.
* 3/01 Sell was by the definition of a bear market having been met.
**8/04 was a 1/2 Sell
Further updates are available for Subscribers only under the results
for the COMPOSITE Timing Indicator.
ÞThe BOTTOM LINE: SELL Signals avoided almost 60% of Bear Market point losses on average. SELL Signals preceded every Bear Market and Recession during the period covered. Of the eleven (11) calendar YEARS since 1950 that the S&P 500 lost on the year, my Indicator was in a SELL mode for 70% of the time during those years. Of the 16 worst MONTHS (down 7% or more) during that time, a SELL Signal was in effect during all or part of 15 (93%) of those months.
The following are additional pages of this section:
Results and Background | Signals and Results | Bull Market Participation | CPA Verification