Category: Daily update

Dow Theory Update for October 5: Dissecting the current secondary reaction in gold and silver

posted on: October 5, 2020

Explanation for SIL and GDX coming soon As I wrote here, the secondary trend for precious metals had changed on September 23rd, 2020. I promised a more in-depth post. Today, I’ll address gold and silver. Hopefully, next week, I’ll write about SIL and GDX, the gold and silver miners ETFs. Please mind […]

Dow Theory Update for October 2: Why I favor using two alternative ways of appraising secondary reactions?

posted on: October 2, 2020

In-depth explanation about the current secondary reaction in precious metals coming soon In my last post, I summarily informed that the secondary trend for precious metals had turned bearish. However, I didn’t provide accurate calculations nor any charts. Since the appraisal of secondary reaction is vital for Dow Theorists, as we derive […]

Dow Theory Update for September 25: Precious metals under secondary reaction against the primary bull market

posted on: September 25, 2020

Trends unchanged for TLT and IEF I don’t have much time to blog. Hopefully, by the end of next week I’ll be able to post some charts and provide you with more in-depth explanations. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) At 09/14/2020, the primary trend […]

Dow Theory Update for September 11: Long term bullishness remains while short term there is some stalling.

posted on: September 11, 2020

Precious metals could be nearing a secondary reaction. Not there yet. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) At 09/02/2020, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. The April 6th, 2020 Buy signal (caused by a Bull market […]

Dow Theory Update for September 2nd: US bonds are in a secondary reaction when one takes a somewhat shorter time frame.

posted on: September 2, 2020

No secondary reaction when one is bound by the 1/3 confirmed retracement dogma This post is being penned on Saturday, August 29th, but will likely be posted on Wednesday 9/2/2020. I am looking at the charts today, and I see now changes in my analysis of trends. Today I’ll focus on US […]

Dow Theory Update for August 24: Primary bull market in US bonds reconfirmed

posted on: August 24, 2020

Primary and secondary trend for precious metals and their ETF miners remain bullish General remarks There is bullishness everywhere. US stocks, US bonds, and precious metals are all undergoing solid primary bull markets. Of course, trends can reverse. However, as of this writing, there are no secondary reactions in sight. It feels […]

Dow Theory Update for August 10th: Divergence and the Dow Theory

posted on: August 10, 2020

Case in point: Precious metals right now Caveat: I’m publishing this post before the close, so things might change. The Dow Theory has it that higher highs (lows) unconfirmed have no validity in signalling changes of trends. We also now that the principle of confirmation has more validity the longer the time frame. Thus, […]

Dow Theory Update for July 23: Are we nearing a secondary reaction in precious metals?

posted on: July 23, 2020

Is the time to (partially) unload nigh? Rhea, in his actual trading, tried to avoid as much as possible secondary reactions. He tried to unload near the end of a bull swing or at the very beginning of a secondary reaction with the hope (many times fulfilled) of replenishing his line at a lower price […]

Dow Theory Update for July 21: US stocks and US interest rates remain in primary bull market

posted on: July 21, 2020

Today the focus of this post is US stock indexes and US interest rates. As to precious metals, gold and silver, and their ETF miners continue making higher highs (at some point a secondary reaction will develop) and last week’s analysis remains unchanged. I am writing before the close, so things might change. Readers beware. […]

Dow Theory Update for July 13th, 2020: All primary and secondary trends in precious metals and their miners are now bullish

posted on: July 13, 2020

Trends for US stocks indices and US interest rates unchanged In this post, I will focus on the precious metals sector. From now on, and if time allows when being outside the realm of Schannep’s Dow Theory (more appropriately “the Dow Theory for the 21stCentury”), I’ll try to show two alternative appraisals of secondary reactions. […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: On the Dow to Gold ratio

posted on: June 27, 2020

Is it a good timing device? Since this blog deals with US Stocks and Gold, and prompted by a Subscriber of thedowtheory.com, today I’ll briefly discuss the Dow to Gold ratio and its usefulness as a timing device. You can find an explanation of the Dow to Gold ratio and an excellent interactive chart displaying […]

Dow Theory Update for June 22: Possible secondary reaction in SIL and GDX

posted on: June 22, 2020

Primary trends unchanged In this post, I will focus on SIL and GDX where I seem to discern a change of the secondary trend. As to the rest of the markets I monitor I see no changes and hence what I reported in my post of June 3rd, 2020remains unchanged. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs […]