Category: Daily update

Dow Theory Update for December 20: Primary and Secondary trends unchanged

posted on: December 20, 2016

Industrials make higher closing highs unconfirmed I am on a “vacation mode”, and hence my writing will be limited to strictly monitoring trends. No time for in-depth studies. US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. The Industrials made today a higher closing high unconfirmed […]

Dow Theory Update for December 9: US stock indices making confirmed higher highs

posted on: December 9, 2016

Trends unchanged Gary Antonacci, of the “Dual Momentum” blog, has recently penned an interesting article named “Common Mistakes of Momentum Investors”. Since the Dow Theory is closely related to appraising momentum and riding on it, the article is quite applicable to Dow Theorist and is an interesting read so that we avoid usual psychological pitfalls. […]

Dow Theory Update for December 6: More on the primary bull market signal

posted on: December 6, 2016

Trends unchanged for gold, silver and their miners: that is bearish On November 21st, 2016 a primary bull market was signaled, as was reported here Let’s further delve into the signal. First of all, let’s take a look at the charts The highs of the last primary bull market (red horizontal lines) were bettered […]

Dow Theory Update for November 22: Primary bull market according to Schannep’s Dow Theory signaled at the close of November 21

posted on: November 22, 2016

I don’t have time to write. Most probably next Wednesday 23rd I’ll be able to pen a more in-depth post. However, it is worth mentioning that yesterday, November 21st, at the close, a primary bull market was signaled as per Schannep’s Dow Theory, as the S&P 500 finally confirmed the Industrials and Transports in breaking […]

Dow Theory Update for November 14: Primary bear market for Gold reconfirmed today

posted on: November 14, 2016

Primary bear reconfirmed for SIL and GDX on November 13 US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend (when appraised using Schannep’s Dow Theory) is bearish as explained here. The Industrials and Transports have amply exceeded their respective last recorded primary bull market closing highs. However, the SP500 (and SPY) have refused to do so, and […]

Dow Theory Update for November 11: The current trend as per the classical/Rhea Dow Theory (III)

posted on: November 11, 2016

Alternative (and truest ) “classical” interpretation as per Page 77 of Rhea’s book “The Dow Theory” Please mind that I am writing before the close. Things might change. In the past two post I analyzed the trend as per the classical/Rhea Dow Theory. The first post showed Schannep’s interpretation (not of his own “Dow Theory” […]

Dow Theory Update for November 3: Primary bear market signaled for US Stocks on November 3rd, as per Schannep’s Dow Theory

posted on: November 3, 2016

Trend under classical/Rhea Dow Theory unclear US STOCKS Two days ago I was reporting that the Industrials were very close to signaling a primary bear market signal. Well, on November 2nd, at the close, the Industrials deigned to confirm the SPY (SP 500) which had violated its secondary reaction closing lows on 10/13/2016. As per […]

Dow Theory Update for November 1: Industrials failed to confirm primary bear market by less than 3 points

posted on: November 1, 2016

Hence, US stocks continue flirting with primary bear market signal US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish as explained here and here The secondary trend is bearish (secondary reaction against the primary bull market) as explained here According to the “Rhea/Classical” Dow Theory no secondary reaction has been signaled yet, as explained here. However, I […]

Dow Theory review for 2015: Silver and Gold miners ETFs

posted on: October 25, 2016

As I did when analyzing 2015 for silver and gold, I, once again, apologize for posting this review so late. Better late than never, though. Let’s see how fared in 2015 the Dow Theory when applied to the silver and gold miners ETFs (SIL and GDX) SIL and GDX SIL: The year started with an […]

Dow Theory Update for October 20: US stocks continue flirting with primary bear market signal

posted on: October 20, 2016

Trends unchanged I am writing before the close so things might change after the close. So readers beware. US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish as explained hereand here The secondary trend is bearish (secondary reaction against the primary bull market) as explained here According to the “Rhea/Classical” Dow Theory no secondary reaction has been […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Putting the Dow Theory under Stress-Test (VIII)

posted on: October 17, 2016

Dow Theory’s performance under weak cyclical bull markets This “stress-test” saga has dealt with performance under secular bear markets Another environment which is detrimental to the Dow Theory is weak cyclical bull markets. What is a cyclical bull and bear market? I see cyclical bull/bear markets as a long movement which is an order of […]

Dow Theory Update for October 14: A deeper look into the primary bear market signal for gold, silver and their miners

posted on: October 14, 2016

US stocks flirting with primary bear market signal (but not yet) In my last post (October 4th) I alerted about a primary bear market signal for gold, silver and their respective ETF miners. Well, I’d like to further delve into the primary bear market signal and the outcome for the trade taken as per the […]