Dow Theory Update for June 6: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed
posted on: June 6, 2022
Update on the trends for precious metals. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is […]
Dow Theory Update for May 27: Finally, a secondary (bullish) reaction has been signaled for US bonds
posted on: May 27, 2022
The primary trend remains bearish, though It has been a long time without providing an update concerning US bonds. In fact, it was not necessary as the trend has been “down” for many months now, so no changes occurred. I am writing before the close, so things might change. US INTEREST RATES […]
Dow Theory Update for May 13: All investing strategies need protection against bear markets. Three examples. Make no mistake about it.
posted on: May 13, 2022
A brief update on the trends for U.S.U.S. stocks, U.S. Bonds, and precious metals & their miners’ ETFs. The primary trends for gold & silver, SIL & GDX, and U.S. bond markets have not changed since I last reported. What is new since my last reporting is a nasty secondary reaction against the […]
Dow Theory Update for April 26: Shorting US bonds with the Dow Theory. Does it work?
posted on: April 26, 2022
Answer: Yes! Readers of this blog should know by now that the Dow Theory works. The measure of “working” is twofold: (a) drawdown reduction and (b) outperformance versus Buy & Hold (B&H). I recently explored the “long side” of the Dow Theory with US bonds (ETFs: TLT & EDV). The results were outstanding, as you […]
Dow Theory Update: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (III)
posted on: March 22, 2022
Comparisons between the Dow Theory, a moving average system and Buy and Hold In the previous two posts of this saga, we saw that both TLT and EDV vastly outperformed B&H while dramatically cutting drawdowns. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2022/02/dow-theory-update-for-february-16-does.html http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2022/03/dow-theory-update-does-dow-theory-work.html Inquisitive minds could think that, after all, the period examined was overall bullish and that any […]
Dow Theory Update: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (II)
posted on: March 7, 2022
Performance with extended duration bonds (EDV) In the previous post, I proved that the Dow Theory works well with US Bonds. We determined the trend by using TLT and IEF and applying the trend so appraised to TLT which corresponds to US bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. Today we are […]
Dow Theory Update for February 16: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (I)
posted on: February 16, 2022
Answer: YES! This is a long post that took a good deal of research. If you want to become convinced about the Dow Theory being arguably the best timing system for trades lasting more than six months, continue reading. Dow Theorist Hamilton stated that the Dow Theory could be applied to other markets. However, he […]
Dow Theory Update for January 10: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on 1/5/22
posted on: January 10, 2022
US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares 7-10 years Treasury bond ETF. More about […]
Dow Theory Update for January 8: Setup for a potential primary bear market in precious metals completed
posted on: January 8, 2022
Primary trend for US interest rates bearish GOLD AND SILVER In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend […]
Dow Theory Update for December 3rd: Primary bull market for US Bonds signaled on November 30
posted on: December 3, 2021
Despite the current pullback precious metals and their miners continue in a primary bull market Sorry for the delay in posting. I was immersed in the drafting of our December 1st Letter to Subscribers. Now, little by little, I begin to catch up. I don’t have time today to write about precious metals. The current […]
Dow Theory Update for November 16: Recap of the Dow Theory outperformance across many markets
posted on: November 16, 2021
GLD/SLV, GDX/SIL, USO/XLE, TLT, and the Dow Industrials Is the Dow Theory only for US stock indexes? Does it work? Is it not a thing of the past? The Dow Theory works and outperformed Buy & Hold across many markets (energy, precious metals, and their ETF miners, US bonds, US stock indexes). Look at the […]
Dow Theory Update for October 21: Secondary reaction against the primary bear market in precious metals and their ETF miners
posted on: October 21, 2021
Primary trend for US bonds bearish when one appraises the trend with a longer-term view I am writing before the close, so things might change. Readers beware. GOLD AND SILVER In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. A) […]
