Dow Theory Update for May 13: Is the USD bull market over?
posted on: May 13, 2015
EUR under primary bull market as per the Dow Theory. US debt just about to signal primary bear market. Following the suggestion of Algyros, reader of this Dow Theory blog, I have made it easier for its followers to know the current state of the trend (see banner above), as far as I am able […]
Coiled markets and the Dow Theory: A closer look to TLT and IEF ETFs
posted on: April 28, 2014
In my last post, I wrote about consolidations I see occurring in several markets. Well, let’s take a look at interest rates (TLT and IEF, the 20+ years and 7-10 years bonds ETFs, respectively). It will be a very cursory analysis, as my time remains in short supply. Here you have the vital chart which […]
Dow Theory special issue: Revisiting the BLV/GLD ratio
posted on: December 19, 2012
Still at crossroads? We have dealt with the BLV/GLD ratio on several occasions in this Dow Theory blog. To understand why this ratio is important, I suggest you read here and here the relevant posts to get a taste of it. If the ratio turns bearish (stronger gold) it means a hard time […]
Dow Theory spells trouble for bonds: Clouds on the horizon. Part II
posted on: October 25, 2012
Yesterday, in this Dow Theory blog, I promised you that I’d talk about the BLV/GLD ratio. Here we go. Let’s begin with an old post called “Dow Theory spells trouble for bonds: Clouds on the horizon” which you can read here Go to that post and look at the BLV/GLD chart that is displayed […]
Rearranging the big picture in a week full of relevant Dow Theory events
posted on: October 6, 2012
Weekly Dow Theory recap This was a week rich in Dow Theory significant events as well plain technical ones. Here is a summary of the messages the markets gave us this week of which this blog took due notice. 1) Bonds are at a critical juncture. If they turn weaker, they may ignite […]
Dow Theory update for Sep 18: No news. Both primary and secondary movements remain bullish.
posted on: September 18, 2012
Long term bonds: Still not ready to collapse. The good thing of applying Dow Theory to analyze the markets is that it is sufficiently long term to allow you not to be glued to the screen all day long, while, on the other hand, it is nifty enough, to get you out soon when trouble […]
Dow Theory spells trouble for bonds: Clouds on the horizon
posted on: September 17, 2012
We have been talking in this blog about stocks, gold, silver and their miners. However, we kept silent as to the US treasury bonds. First of all, I must admit that bonds are not so easy to be analyzed under Dow Theory. Dow Theory works best when applied to correlated markets (i.e. SPY and Transports) […]