Category: Dow Theory

Dow Theory Update for July 6: U.S. bonds are in a secondary reaction against the bear market

posted on: July 6, 2022

Are bonds signaling an impending recession? I am writing before today’s close, so things might change. Readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond […]

Dow Theory Update for July 5: Bear market for gold and silver signaled on 6/30/2022

posted on: July 5, 2022

U.S. bonds are in a secondary reaction against the primary bear market. A post will follow soon. GOLD AND SILVER A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled as bullish on 11/11/21, as I explained here. In my June 16th, 2022, post I […]

Dow Theory Update for June 27: Primary bear market signaled for GDX & SIL on 6/23/22

posted on: June 27, 2022

Gold and Silver remain in a primary bull market GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. In my 6/16/22 post, I explained that on 6/14/22, GDX had broken downside, its 5/12/22 secondary reaction low (pullback) unconfirmed by SIL. On 6/23/22, SIL confirmed […]

Can the Dow Theory be applied to Sectors? Answer: YES (II).

posted on: June 21, 2022

Healthcare sector (XLV) Can the Dow Theory for the 21stCentury (DT21C) be successfully applied to the healthcare sector (XLV)? Yes, and it works great. In a future post, I will explain why the Dow Theory works with sectors and what sectors stand to profit most from the Dow Theory. Today, I applied the Dow Theory […]

Dow Theory Update for June 16: Update on the trends for precious metals and their miners ETFs (GDX & SIL)

posted on: June 16, 2022

I am publishing this post before the close. Therefore, things might change. Readers, do your own homework GOLD AND SILVER A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled as bullish on 11/11/21, as I explained here. Despite the current pullback, the trend remains […]

Dow Theory Update for June 15: Primary bear market for U.S. bonds reconfirmed on 6/13/22

posted on: June 15, 2022

Later today or tomorrow follows an update for precious metals and their ETF miners US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here […]

Can the Dow Theory be applied to Sectors? Answer: YES

posted on: June 10, 2022

Can the Dow Theory be successfully applied to sectors? Yes, and it works great. In most cases, there is even more outperformance and drawdown reduction versus Buy and Hold than when applied to Indexes. In a future post, I will explain why the Dow Theory works with sectors and what sectors stand to profit most […]

Dow Theory Update for June 6: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed

posted on: June 6, 2022

Update on the trends for precious metals. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is […]

Dow Theory Update for May 27: Finally, a secondary (bullish) reaction has been signaled for US bonds

posted on: May 27, 2022

The primary trend remains bearish, though It has been a long time without providing an update concerning US bonds. In fact, it was not necessary as the trend has been “down” for many months now, so no changes occurred. I am writing before the close, so things might change. US INTEREST RATES […]

Dow Theory Update for May 26: Catching up with precious metals & their ETF miners

posted on: May 26, 2022

GOLD AND SILVER In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled as bullish on 11/11/21, as I explained […]

Dow Theory Update for May 13: All investing strategies need protection against bear markets. Three examples. Make no mistake about it.

posted on: May 13, 2022

A brief update on the trends for U.S.U.S. stocks, U.S. Bonds, and precious metals & their miners’ ETFs. The primary trends for gold & silver, SIL & GDX, and U.S. bond markets have not changed since I last reported. What is new since my last reporting is a nasty secondary reaction against the […]

Dow Theory Update for April 26: Shorting US bonds with the Dow Theory. Does it work?

posted on: April 26, 2022

Answer: Yes! Readers of this blog should know by now that the Dow Theory works. The measure of “working” is twofold: (a) drawdown reduction and (b) outperformance versus Buy & Hold (B&H). I recently explored the “long side” of the Dow Theory with US bonds (ETFs: TLT & EDV). The results were outstanding, as you […]