Category: Insights

Dow Theory Special Issue: Dow Theory versus Moving Averages

posted on: February 20, 2015

Which is a better timing system? The post you are going to read was overdue, as it is vital for any trend follower. I could finally find some time to put some ideas together. It is well known that moving averages (hereinafter, “MA”) are used by investors to help “timing” the markets. So, as with […]

Dow Theory Update for February 19: Secondary reaction for silver and gold miners ETFs signaled today

posted on: February 19, 2015

The Industrials and Transports have not confirmed SPY’s higher highs yet If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary […]

Dow Theory Update for February 18: Industrials and Transports refuse to confirm SPY’s higher highs.

posted on: February 18, 2015

If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, and Transports closed up. The Industrials closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows. On Friday 30, the Transports did […]

Dow Theory Update for February 13: Are Gold and Silver miners ETFs under a secondary reaction?

posted on: February 13, 2015

Primary trends have not changed. If you are interested in knowing how did the Dow Theory fare in 2014 with the precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/02/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Putting 2014 in perspective II

posted on: February 11, 2015

Gold, Silver and their miners ETFs. The first part of this study concerning US Stocks can be found here. Gold and Silver 2014 began with an ongoing primary bear market in gold and silver which had been signaled by this blogger truly yours on December 20th, 2012 (as explained here). The primary bear market signal […]

Dow Theory Update for February 6: Secondary reaction for gold and silver signaled today

posted on: February 6, 2015

Primary trends unchanged US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very near to a primary bear market signal). On Friday 30, the Transports did so. However, lack of confirmation as the SPY has refused to violate its secondary reaction […]

Dow Theory Special Issue for February 4: It is not a primary bear market…

posted on: February 4, 2015

…In spite of what other Dow Theorists may say Last Friday, January 30, the Transports violated their secondary reaction lows, and, hence confirmed the Industrials which had done so January 28. As reported by Mark Hulbert of “marketwatch.com”, the Dow Theory is now “flashing” a “sell” signal. In his opinion (apparently backed by other Dow […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Schannep and I brainstorming about the last Dow Theory signal (V and final)

posted on: February 2, 2015

As you know I have been writing about the last DowTheory signal in four posts. The essence of those posts was analyzing the friendly discrepancy between Dow Theorist Schannep (of “thedowtheory.com”) and I when evaluating what for me constituted a primary bear market signal. Schannep was of the opinion that no primary bear market signal […]

Dow Theory Update for February 2: No primary bear market signaled yet, as the SPY refuses to confirm

posted on: February 2, 2015

Trends for gold, silver and their miners unchanged. US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very near to a primary bear market signal). On Friday 30, the Transports did so. However, lack of confirmation as the SPY has refused […]

Dow Theory Update for January 29: Stocks have dodged the bullet…at least for now

posted on: January 29, 2015

Trends remain unchanged in spite of rising volatility. Last Friday January 23rd, stocks set up for a primary bear market signal, as explained here. The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. Yesterday, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very near to a primary bear market signal). However, lack of confirmation (as […]

Dow Theory Update for January 28: Industrials violate secondary reaction lows unconfirmed

posted on: January 28, 2015

We are very near to a primary bear market signal for stocks Last Friday 23rd, stocks set up for a primary bear market signal, as explained here. The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed down. The Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very near to a primary bear market signal). However, lack of […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Digging deeper into the primary bull market signal for gold and silver

posted on: January 24, 2015

I promised you that this weekend I was going to give you my take on the brand new primary bull market signal for SLV and GLD. I’d like to say I find a compelling risk/reward ratio for GLD. The primary bull market was signaled on 1/16/2015 and GLD closed at 122.52. The primary bear market […]