Category: Insights

Dow Theory Update for March 17: Precious metals continue flirting with primary bear market signal.

posted on: March 17, 2015

No secondary reaction for stocks signaled yet (or never) Very brief update. What I wrote in my last post, remains fully valid. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/03/dow-theory-update-for-march-12-primary.html Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for March 12: Primary trend for Gold, Silver and their miners ETFs could change soon

posted on: March 12, 2015

Are US Stocks under a secondary reaction? Not yet. Time remains in very short supply, so let’s encapsulate the vital information. I am writing before the close. So some of my musings could be altered after the close. US STOCKS The SPY and the Industrials have been declining for 7 days. The Transports declined for […]

Dow Theory Update for March 7: Trends for stocks and precious metals remain unchanged

posted on: March 7, 2015

Time is once again in very short supply, so I haven’t been able to post much of late. However, trends have not changed, since my last post last week. Not even secondary ones. Thus, US stocks, remain in a primary bull market. The secondary trend is bullish, if we are to follow my own interpretation […]

Dow Theory Update for February 28: Primary bull market for stocks reconfirmed

posted on: February 28, 2015

However, I’d like it better if the Transports deigned to confirm the SPY and Industrials US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. The SPY bettered on February 12nd its primary bull market closing highs. The Industrials confirmed on February 20th. The Transports have not confirmed yet. So what should I say? Has the […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Dow Theory versus Moving Averages

posted on: February 20, 2015

Which is a better timing system? The post you are going to read was overdue, as it is vital for any trend follower. I could finally find some time to put some ideas together. It is well known that moving averages (hereinafter, “MA”) are used by investors to help “timing” the markets. So, as with […]

Dow Theory Update for February 19: Secondary reaction for silver and gold miners ETFs signaled today

posted on: February 19, 2015

The Industrials and Transports have not confirmed SPY’s higher highs yet If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary […]

Dow Theory Update for February 18: Industrials and Transports refuse to confirm SPY’s higher highs.

posted on: February 18, 2015

If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, and Transports closed up. The Industrials closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows. On Friday 30, the Transports did […]

Dow Theory Update for February 13: Are Gold and Silver miners ETFs under a secondary reaction?

posted on: February 13, 2015

Primary trends have not changed. If you are interested in knowing how did the Dow Theory fare in 2014 with the precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/02/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Putting 2014 in perspective II

posted on: February 11, 2015

Gold, Silver and their miners ETFs. The first part of this study concerning US Stocks can be found here. Gold and Silver 2014 began with an ongoing primary bear market in gold and silver which had been signaled by this blogger truly yours on December 20th, 2012 (as explained here). The primary bear market signal […]

Dow Theory Update for February 6: Secondary reaction for gold and silver signaled today

posted on: February 6, 2015

Primary trends unchanged US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very near to a primary bear market signal). On Friday 30, the Transports did so. However, lack of confirmation as the SPY has refused to violate its secondary reaction […]

Dow Theory Special Issue for February 4: It is not a primary bear market…

posted on: February 4, 2015

…In spite of what other Dow Theorists may say Last Friday, January 30, the Transports violated their secondary reaction lows, and, hence confirmed the Industrials which had done so January 28. As reported by Mark Hulbert of “marketwatch.com”, the Dow Theory is now “flashing” a “sell” signal. In his opinion (apparently backed by other Dow […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Schannep and I brainstorming about the last Dow Theory signal (V and final)

posted on: February 2, 2015

As you know I have been writing about the last DowTheory signal in four posts. The essence of those posts was analyzing the friendly discrepancy between Dow Theorist Schannep (of “thedowtheory.com”) and I when evaluating what for me constituted a primary bear market signal. Schannep was of the opinion that no primary bear market signal […]