Dow Theory Update for April 12: Gold and silver fall out of bed. Primary bear market reconfirmed

Manuel Blay


 GLD losses massive 22.86 tonnes

 
Volume is bearish on a long-time  perspective.
Danielle Park has posted an interesting article in her blog “Juggling Dynamite.” According to Park, volume has been extremely bearish from a long time perspective. The post contains two sobering charts.


Stocks

The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed down. The primary and secondary trend remains bullish.
Friday’s volume was higher than Thursday’s. Since stocks closed down, it has a bearish connotation.
Gold and silver

GLD lost a massive 22.86 tonnes. Is paper gold going towards its intrinsic value whereas the East hoards the physical?
GLD and SLV closed down and made lower lows thereby reconfirming the primary bear market.
GDX and SIL closed and made lower lows thereby reconfirming the primary bear market.
Here you have the figures of the markets I monitor for today.
 

Data for April 12, 2013
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY
SPY
Bull market started 11/15/2012 135.7
Bull market signaled 01/02/2013 146.06
Last close 04/12/2013 158.8
Current stop level: Bear mkt low 135.7
Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %

8.72% 17.02% 7.63%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR GOLD (GLD)
GLD
Bull market started 05/16/2012 149.46
Bull market signaled 08/22/2012 160.54
Exit December 20 12/20/2012 161.16
Current stop level: Sec React low 11/02/2012 162.6
Realized Loss % Tot advance since start bull mkt
0.39% 7.83%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SILVER (SLV)
SLV
Bull market started 06/28/2012 25.63
Bull market signaled 08/22/2012 28.92
Exit December 20 12/20/2012 29
Current stop level: Sec React low 11/02/2012 29.95
Realized gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt
0.28% 13.15%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF SIL
SIL
Bull market started 07/24/2012 17.08
Bull market signaled 09/04/2012 21.83
Exit January 23 01/24/2013 21.69
Current stop level: Sec React low 11/15/2012 21.87
Realized Loss % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %
-0.64% 26.99% 27.81%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF GDX
GDX
Bull market started 05/16/2012 39.56
Bull market signaled 09/04/2012 47.77
Exit January 23 01/24/2013 44.56
Current stop level: Sec React low 12/05/2012 45.35
Realized Loss % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %
-6.72% 12.64% 20.75%

Sincerely,
The Dow Theorist.
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