Newsletter

Combining the time-tested principles of Charles Dow’s Traditional Dow Theory with the 60+ years of research and real-life experience, Manuel Blay publishes TheDowTheory.com Newsletter with a commitment to providing our subscribers with effective, profitable market timing wisdom in a timely manner.

Our Newsletter is about much more than just the Dow Theory, incorporating other important fundamental, economic and historic perspective to the technical Indicators interpreted in our Letter.

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The Real Problem with Buy & Hold—and What to Do About It

The Real Problem with Buy & Hold—and What to Do About It

Three Smarter Ways to Cut Drawdowns Without Killing Performance The core issue with buy-and-hold investing is simple: drawdowns. Big ones.…
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Bull market for the gold and silver miners ETFs (GDX & SIL) signaled on 6/2/25

Bull market for the gold and silver miners ETFs (GDX & SIL) signaled on 6/2/25

Overview: The precious metals landscape has turned very bullish. Gold, silver, platinum, and even base metals like copper are trending…
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Gold and Silver in Sync: The Bull Marches On

Gold and Silver in Sync: The Bull Marches On

Silver Seals the Deal: Bull Market Reconfirmed Overview: On 6/5/25, silver broke above its 10/22/24 highs. It confirmed gold’s previous…
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A Bullish Triad, But…

A Bullish Triad, But…

“Trend following systems are not about being right or wrong but about making money.”-Ed Seykota   PRINT Audio version Overview:…
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Critical Juncture for Bonds: Bear Market Signal One Step Away

Critical Juncture for Bonds: Bear Market Signal One Step Away

Set up for a potential bear market signal for TLT and IEF completed on 5/30/25 Overview: the most recent rally…
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Dow Theory signal: Bear Market for Gold and Silver Miners triggered on 5/14/25

Dow Theory signal: Bear Market for Gold and Silver Miners triggered on 5/14/25

Overview: The easing of geopolitical tensions, a preliminary truce in the tariff wars, and some forced liquidations have pushed GDX…
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A One-Two Punch — In Our Favor!

A One-Two Punch — In Our Favor!

“The trick is not to learn to trust your feelings but to discipline yourself to ignore them”-Peter Lynch    …
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Breadth Thrust on April 24th 2025 increases the odds that the bottom is behind us

Breadth Thrust on April 24th 2025 increases the odds that the bottom is behind us

I reproduce a post on LinkedIn with some additions that I think is relevant to our readers. On April 24,…
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Key Support Levels for Bitcoin—and the Ethereum Connection

Key Support Levels for Bitcoin—and the Ethereum Connection

I had the pleasure of joining Maurizio Pedrazzoli for a great interview on his YouTube channel.We analyzed Bitcoin’s trend using…
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