Dow Theory Update for July 30: Indecisive day for stocks

Manuel Blay



 Precious metals close down

Let’s get started with our Dow Theory commentary on this blog for today.
Stocks

The SPY closed unchanged and the Industrials closed down. The Transports closed up.
Here you have an updated chart reflecting the latest action of the three indices we monitor:
Dow+Theory+3+Industrials+Transports+and+SPY+JULY+30
Primary and secondary trend remains bullish
The primary and secondary trend is bullish, as explained here, and more in-depth here.
Today’s volume was higher than yesterday’s. However, as price action was so indecisive, I don’t ascribe any particular meaning to today’s action. The overall pattern of volume is bearish.
Gold and Silver
SLV and GLD closed down. The primary trend is bearish, as explained hereand reconfirmed bearish here. The secondary trend is bullish (secondary reaction against the primary bearish trend), as explained here.
GDX and SIL, the gold and silver miners ETFs closed down
The primary trend is bearish, as explained hereand reconfirmed bearish here.
The secondary trend for GDX and SIL is bullish, as explained here.
Here you have the figures for the SPY, which represents the only market with a suggested open long position.
Data for July 30, 2013

DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY
SPY
Bull market started 06/24/2013 157.06
Bull market signaled 07/18/2013 168.87
Last close 07/30/2013 168.59
Current stop level: Bear mkt low 157.06
Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %
-0.17% 7.34% 7.52%
Sincerely,
The Dow Theorist
Back To Top