Trends unchanged
Let’s analyze the markets under the prism of the Dow Theory. It is summer time, and, accordingly, this commentary will be short in the following days unless something really relevant is spotted on the charts. Any energy and free time left will be devoted to continuing the saga “Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory”, whose first part can be found here.
Stocks
The SPY and Transports closed up. The Industrials closed down.
Today’s volume was higher than yesterday, which is bullish as higher prices were joined by expanding volume. The overall pattern of volume is turning neutral.
Gold and Silver
SLV closed up and GLD closed down. The primary trend is bearish, as explained hereand reconfirmed bearish here. The secondary trend is bullish (secondary reaction against the primary bearish trend), as explained here.
GDX and SIL, the gold and silver miners ETFs closed down
The secondary trend for GDX and SIL is bullish, as explained here.
Here you have the figures for the SPY, which represents the only market with a suggested open long position.
| Data for July 31, 2013 | |||
| DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY | |||
| SPY | |||
| Bull market started | 06/24/2013 | 157.06 | |
| Bull market signaled | 07/18/2013 | 168.87 | |
| Last close | 07/31/2013 | 168.71 | |
| Current stop level: Bear mkt low | 157.06 | ||
| Unrlzd gain % | Tot advance since start bull mkt | Max Pot Loss % | |
| -0.09% | 7.42% | 7.52% | |
Sincerely,
The Dow Theorist
