Rory Guillen of Gillenmarkets.com, a long-time subscriber to our service, has just published a highly insightful article on the most recent Dow Theory for the 21st Century (DT21C) signal. You can read it HERE. The piece offers a clear and practical explanation of how to apply the DT21C, along with its strong track record of […]
The 40-Day Sweet Spot: Rethinking Your Stock Holding Period Most S&P500 constituents fail to outperform the Index in the long run. The evidence provided by Kurtis Hemmerling in his LinkedIn post is compelling and highlights this challenge for individual stock pickers. So, if you buy stocks for the long haul, the odds are greatly stacked […]
Overview: Gold and Silver are in a new bull market of their own, as I explained HERE. Now, the miners have joined the rally, and as of 4/3/24, a new bull market has been confirmed. Therefore, regardless of how we analyze it, the trend in the precious metals sector is bullish, as illustrated in the […]
Learn How the Dow Theory Can Elevate Your Investment Game Being featured on Giacomo Mondonico’s YouTube channel, Hustle Hub, was an absolute pleasure. In our first interview episode, we explored various investment strategies, carefully assessing their effectiveness. Through our analysis, we found that the Dow Theory stands out as a reliable approach for understanding market […]
One fundamental tenet of the Dow Theory holds that the movement of one index, when not confirmed by another, should be disregarded. This principle underscores that a Buy or Sell signal originating from one index, such as surpassing a prior high or breaking down below a previous low, carries no significance if it lacks validation […]
Executive summary: The gold and silver (GLD & SLV) have been under a secondary reaction since 7/18/23. The current secondary reaction notwithstanding, the primary trend for gold and silver remains bearish. General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. GOLD AND SILVER […]
But not there yet! General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares 7-10 years Treasury bond ETF. More about it here. […]
What happens when one mixes a great timing indicator like the Dow Theory for the 21st Century (DT21C) with a relative strength system? Answer: Even more outperformance and a better risk-reward profile v. Buy and Hold (B&H). Relative Strength (RS) is based on the proven fact that assets (stocks, indexes, sectors, commodities, etc.) […]
Case in point: Precious metals right now Caveat: I’m publishing this post before the close, so things might change. The Dow Theory has it that higher highs (lows) unconfirmed have no validity in signalling changes of trends. We also now that the principle of confirmation has more validity the longer the time frame. Thus, […]
Should we consider the existence of a secondary reaction in precious metals and US interest rates? General remark: Even if you usually only read “US Stocks”, please read the sections concerning precious metals and US interest rates, since they contain several musings which I consider important in order to become more profitable (and drawdown contained) […]
Primary and secondary trends unchanged for US stocks, US interest rates, precious metals and their ETFs miners unchanged US STOCKS Under Schannep’s Dow Theory The primary trend is bearish since March 9th (penetration of the lows of the current secondary reaction) or even February 25th (alternative exit based on the penetration of the lows of […]
Musings, and more musings before the meat This is a long post which has been divided into two. It has really taken lots of introspection, as it crystallized when being alone in the countryside enjoying the sights of some wonderful lush hills dotted with grazing cattle. This post is a roadmap for the future tasks […]
