Category: Investment musings

Dow Theory special issue: More on the Chinese primary bull market signal Continue Reading

Dow Theory special issue: More on the Chinese primary bull market signal

posted on: September 14, 2013

In this post, I explained that a primary bull market had been signaled in Chinese stocks. Let’s look a bit deeper into it. Let’s start by showing an updated chart: Anatomy of a primary bull market signal  I will focus on the FXI as it represents 25 big companies. It is the equivalent of focusing […]

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory Continue Reading

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory

posted on: September 6, 2013

Part IV. Performance comparison under secular bull markets. Until now this series “Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory has focused on comparing Schannep’s and “Rhea/classical” Dow Theory irrespective of the secular condition of the market. In part I we set out the premises of our study (so that we conduct an apple to apples […]

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory Continue Reading

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory

posted on: August 17, 2013

 Part III Overall performance figures (2) Let’s continue with our analysis of the Schannep’s version of the Dow Theory versus the “Rhea/classical” one. The first post of this saga, which you can find here, set out the premises of our study, as it is important to do a real “apple to apples” comparison. The second […]

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory Continue Reading

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory

posted on: August 9, 2013

Part II. Overall performance figures Today we will continue our comparison of the “Rhea/classical” Dow Theory versus the Schannep’s version thereof. Our previous post, which you can find here, set out the premises of our study, as it is important to do a real “apple to apples” comparison. Today, we will begin to evaluate the […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Dissecting GLD and SLV secondary reaction Continue Reading

Dow Theory Special Issue: Dissecting GLD and SLV secondary reaction

posted on: July 23, 2013

Yesterday, this Dow Theory blog voiced the existence of a secondary reaction for GLD and SLV, which means that the secondary trend has turned bullish. Here you have the relevant chart. The blue rectangles highlight the ongoing secondary reaction against the primary bearish trend. Blue rectangles show ongoing secondary reaction against primary bear market for […]

Dow Theory special Issue: Assessing the current primary bull market signal Continue Reading

Dow Theory special Issue: Assessing the current primary bull market signal

posted on: July 19, 2013

If you are a follower of this Dow Theory blog, you know that on July 18, a primary bull market in stocks was signaled. You can find the details here.   And here you have the vital chart: On July18, the Transports broke up the last recorded closing highs. A new primary bull market was […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Secular trend versus long term trend Continue Reading

Dow Theory Special Issue: Secular trend versus long term trend

posted on: July 5, 2013

Case in point GOLD Followers of this Dow Theory blog know I am quite skeptical as to investing along the secular trend. My post “Fundamental versus Technical analysis and Dow Theory. Who is right?” highlights the risks pertaining to investing along the secular trend. When I refer to “secular” trend, I mean trends lasting at […]

After the dust hast settled: Commentary to the Dow Theory primary bear market signal Continue Reading

After the dust hast settled: Commentary to the Dow Theory primary bear market signal

posted on: June 21, 2013

 Its implications for investors As I announced earlier today on this Dow Theory blog, today a primary bear market has been signaled. Those really interested in understanding the intricacies of this primary bear market signal, and the setup that preceded it, are encouraged to go here (for today’s description of the primary bear market signal), […]

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory Continue Reading

Face off: Schannep versus “classical” Dow Theory

posted on: June 20, 2013

Part I. Delineating the object of our study It is no secret that this blogger truly yours has always passionately defended Schannep’s Dow Theory “flavor.” For the uninitiated, it suffices to say that the Dow Theory is not monolithic and, hence, different variations of a common theme cohabit in hopefully peaceful harmony. More about the […]

Dow Theory special issue: Dissecting the classical/Rhea Dow Theory record. Profit factor and more Continue Reading

Dow Theory special issue: Dissecting the classical/Rhea Dow Theory record. Profit factor and more

posted on: June 1, 2013

Part 2: Final statistics. Eight days ago, I posted “Dissecting the classical/Rhea Dow Theory record.” In that post, I examined vital statistics concerning the positions taken in pursuance of the Dow Theory primary bull and bear market signals.   Today, we will expand further our analysis by focusing on: ·       Win to lose ratio. ·        What […]

Dow Theory special issue: Dissecting the classical/Rhea Dow Theory record Continue Reading

Dow Theory special issue: Dissecting the classical/Rhea Dow Theory record

posted on: May 24, 2013

 Part I In previous posts of this Dow Theory blog, we occupied themselves with the evaluation of the Dow Theory performance, as explained here. Furthermore, we broke down such data into secular and bull markets as presented here and here. One thread in common was that all these studies focused on a comparison of the […]

Dow Theory special issue: Introducing Schannep’s stoploss for the stock market Continue Reading

Dow Theory special issue: Introducing Schannep’s stoploss for the stock market

posted on: May 17, 2013

In my previous post, I made some observations concerning the unrealized gains made by those following the primary bull market signal in the stock market. I finished my observations by mentioning two tools to help the investor avoid devastating losses (or to lock in profits) if the trend suddenly reverses. One of this “tools” is […]

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