Category: Investment musings

Jim Rogers and the Dow Theory Continue Reading

Jim Rogers and the Dow Theory

posted on: October 16, 2012

Do they have something in common? Today Seeking Alpha published an interesting article named “Jim Rogers: The U.S. Faces Several ‘Lost Decades’” which you can read here  If Rogers is to be proven right, the implications are really scary. Not only as investors but also concerning our day-to-day life. The comments to the article were […]

Why do I only write about the Dow Theory? Continue Reading

Why do I only write about the Dow Theory?

posted on: October 4, 2012

In German, they have a saying that goes: “Schusterbleibt bei deinen Leisten”which translates into Englishas “Clobber,stick to youtrade.” Inother words: Stay focused. For most investors, the Dow Theory is justan extra tool in their toolbox.It lookstoo simple to bethe consideredthe maintool. Furthermore, sinceit looksso simple,everyone believes thata cursoryreading of themain tenetsof DowTheory makes themexperts and, […]

Plain vanilla Dow Theory? Or does Dow Theory come in many flavors? Continue Reading

Plain vanilla Dow Theory? Or does Dow Theory come in many flavors?

posted on: September 15, 2012

Part I. From Charles Dow to Richard Russell Before this blog continues growing, I feel a clarification is in order. I constantly allude to the Dow Theory as if it were a given. However, in the last 110 years substantially different investment and even trading styles have been advocated under the label “Dow Theory”. Is […]

The price of not heeding the Dow Theory: 6.05% from 06/29/2012 to date Continue Reading

The price of not heeding the Dow Theory: 6.05% from 06/29/2012 to date

posted on: September 8, 2012

I frequently visit “The Big Picture” to be updated on financial matters. It is a wonderful website. Yesterday I found this post entitled “Sell Side Indicator” which you can find here  The gist of the post is a chart that shows the extreme bearishness of asset managers and analysts. In other words, since the Dow […]

Fundamental versus Technical analysis and Dow Theory.  Who is right? Continue Reading

Fundamental versus Technical analysis and Dow Theory. Who is right?

posted on: August 31, 2012

The sad truth is that whatever method you apply it is very difficult to make money in the markets. As the saying goes: It is easier to talk (or write) about money than making it. Thus, it is difficult to discern (a) the encrypted messages of technical analysis, and (b) the validity of the “fundamental” […]

The Dow Theory gives us order. It provides us with a framework to analyze the market. Continue Reading

The Dow Theory gives us order. It provides us with a framework to analyze the market.

posted on: August 30, 2012

We fail at making money in the markets not because of a lack of tools but because we (1) lack consistency in using our tools, (2) have an undefined time-frame and (3) lack of well defined exits (stops) Dow Theory addresses these three issues: It allows us to be consistent. Of course, to be consistent […]

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