Dow Theory Update for October 2: Why I favor using two alternative ways of appraising secondary reactions?
posted on: October 2, 2020
In-depth explanation about the current secondary reaction in precious metals coming soon In my last post, I summarily informed that the secondary trend for precious metals had turned bearish. However, I didn’t provide accurate calculations nor any charts. Since the appraisal of secondary reaction is vital for Dow Theorists, as we derive […]
Dow Theory Special Issue: On the Dow to Gold ratio
posted on: June 27, 2020
Is it a good timing device? Since this blog deals with US Stocks and Gold, and prompted by a Subscriber of thedowtheory.com, today I’ll briefly discuss the Dow to Gold ratio and its usefulness as a timing device. You can find an explanation of the Dow to Gold ratio and an excellent interactive chart displaying […]
Dow Theory Special Issue: Did Rhea really tell that secondary reactions had to last three weeks? (III)
posted on: June 13, 2020
What about the extent requirement? Reminder: All this talk about secondary reactions is under Rhea’s Dow Theory. Under Schannep’s Dow Theory the appraisal of secondary reactions leaves no room for interpretation (which is a great advantage). However, as Hamilton wrote, the Dow Theory may be applied to non-US-Stock markets, as I do in this blog with […]
Dow Theory Update for May 15th: Bullishness in Precious Metals
posted on: May 16, 2020
Any way we measure secondary reactions both precious metals and their miners ETFs are in a primary bull market US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21st Century) At 05/12/2020, the primary and secondary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020 (bull market definition), as was explained in-depth here “Rhea’s /classical” […]
Dow Theory Update for April 25: Setup for a primary bull market signal in US stocks completed
posted on: April 25, 2020
Rhea’s letters (a real gem) available Excursus: I am reading Rhea’s “Dow Theory Comment” which is a collection of the letters he wrote to his subscribers from 1932 to 1934. I could get this rare collectible from Alanpuri Trading. Rhea’s “Dow Theory Comment” is the best companion to his book “The DowTheory”. I am […]
The Theory Update for April 18: Depending on how one appraises the secondary reaction SIL and GDX could be in a primary bull market since April 9th
posted on: April 18, 2020
Secondary (bullish) reaction for US stocks under the Classical Dow Theory I am polishing a relevant post concerning the appraisal of secondary reactions. As you know, the correct assessment of secondary reactions is vital as we derive the primary bull and bear market signals from them. The introductory post can be found here. Please […]
Dow Theory Update for April 8th: New bull market for US stocks signaled on April 6th, 2020
posted on: April 8, 2020
Should we consider the existence of a secondary reaction in precious metals and US interest rates? General remark: Even if you usually only read “US Stocks”, please read the sections concerning precious metals and US interest rates, since they contain several musings which I consider important in order to become more profitable (and drawdown contained) […]
Dow Theory Update for April 4th: Did Rhea really tell that secondary reactions had to last three weeks?
posted on: April 4, 2020
A study on the proper appraisal of secondary reactions as taught by Rhea I am re-reading (for 10th, 11th time?) Rhea’s book “The Dow Theory,” and I am unearthing many gems. Those gems relate to the thorny issue of appraising secondary reactions. The proper ascertainment of a secondary reaction is vital. The lows of secondary […]
Dow Theory Update for March 28th: Watch the S&P 500. If it rallied a little bit more a bull market would be signaled
posted on: March 28, 2020
Trends unchanged for all the markets I cover US STOCKS Under Schannep’s Dow Theory The primary trend is bearish since March 9th (penetration of the lows of the current secondary reaction) or even February 25th (alternative exit based on the penetration of the lows of the previously completed secondary reaction), as explained here. Of course, the […]
Dow Theory Update for March 21st: Secular trend for US stocks turned bearish on March 21st, 2020
posted on: March 21, 2020
Primary and secondary trends unchanged for US stocks, US interest rates, precious metals and their ETFs miners unchanged US STOCKS Under Schannep’s Dow Theory The primary trend is bearish since March 9th (penetration of the lows of the current secondary reaction) or even February 25th (alternative exit based on the penetration of the lows of […]
Dow Theory Special Issue: Back to Divergent interpretations of the “classical” Dow Theory (IV)
posted on: March 16, 2020
Primary and secondary trends unchanged for US stocks, precious metals and their miners ETFs and US interest rates When I thought that all was said and done concerning this saga (see here, here and here). Once again, I feel that some remarks concerning what I consider to be a quite “nonreactive” interpretation of the […]
Dow Theory Special Issue: Some introspection. Let’s go back to the basics in order to make the next leap forward (II)
posted on: March 7, 2020
Comparing Schannep’s Dow Theory to 21 years of buy and hold As I wrote in my last post, there are many projects expanding the Dow Theory in the pipeline. However, before we embark upon discovering new uses for the Dow Theory, we’d better remain on solid ground. To this end, we are going to compare […]
