Category: Insights

Dow Theory Update for July 23: Primary bull market in U.S. bonds signaled on 7/22/22

  The primary & secondary trend for precious metals remains bearish   US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is […]

Dow Theory Update for July 15: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed on 7/8/2022

All trends for precious metals & their ETF miners remain solidly bearish I am writing before today’s close, so things might change. Readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares […]

Dow Theory Update for July 6: U.S. bonds are in a secondary reaction against the bear market

 Are bonds signaling an impending recession?   I am writing before today’s close, so things might change. Readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond […]

Dow Theory Update for July 5: Bear market for gold and silver signaled on 6/30/2022

U.S. bonds are in a secondary reaction against the primary bear market. A post will follow soon. GOLD AND SILVER A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled as bullish on 11/11/21, as I explained here. In my June 16th, 2022, post I […]

Recession soon?

Dow Theory Update for June 27: Primary bear market signaled for GDX & SIL on 6/23/22

Gold and Silver remain in a primary bull market GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. In my 6/16/22 post, I explained that on 6/14/22, GDX had broken downside, its 5/12/22 secondary reaction low (pullback) unconfirmed by SIL. On 6/23/22, SIL confirmed […]

Can the Dow Theory be applied to Sectors? Answer: YES (II).

 Healthcare sector (XLV) Can the Dow Theory for the 21stCentury (DT21C) be successfully applied to the healthcare sector (XLV)? Yes, and it works great. In a future post, I will explain why the Dow Theory works with sectors and what sectors stand to profit most from the Dow Theory. Today, I applied the Dow Theory […]

Dow Theory Update for June 16: Update on the trends for precious metals and their miners ETFs (GDX & SIL)

I am publishing this post before the close. Therefore, things might change. Readers, do your own homework GOLD AND SILVER  A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled as bullish on 11/11/21, as I explained here. Despite the current pullback, the trend remains […]

Dow Theory Update for June 15: Primary bear market for U.S. bonds reconfirmed on 6/13/22

Later today or tomorrow follows an update for precious metals and their ETF miners US INTEREST RATES  General Remarks:  In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions.  TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here […]

Can the Dow Theory be applied to Sectors? Answer: YES

Can the Dow Theory be successfully applied to sectors? Yes, and it works great. In most cases, there is even more outperformance and drawdown reduction versus Buy and Hold than when applied to Indexes. In a future post, I will explain why the Dow Theory works with sectors and what sectors stand to profit most […]

Dow Theory Update for June 6: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed

 Update on the trends for precious metals.   US INTEREST RATES   General Remarks:   In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions.   TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here   IEF is […]

Dow Theory Update for May 27: Finally, a secondary (bullish) reaction has been signaled for US bonds

The primary trend remains bearish, though   It has been a long time without providing an update concerning US bonds. In fact, it was not necessary as the trend has been “down” for many months now, so no changes occurred.   I am writing before the close, so things might change.    US INTEREST RATES […]