Category: Insights

Dow Theory Update for July 11: Primary bear market for Silver and Gold signaled on July 7

posted on: July 11, 2017

Gold and silver miners ETFs remain in primary bear market US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. On July 3rd, 2017 the Transports broke up their March 1st, 2017 primary bull market closing highs. By doing so it confirmed the S&P 500 (breakout on May 10th) […]

Dow Theory Update for July 3: The Transports confirm the S&P 500 and the Industrials

posted on: July 3, 2017

Stocks “in the clear”. Primary bull market reconfirmed and secondary reaction extinguished I will be travelling with a quite heavy schedule in the following days. Hence, it is unlikely that I find time to update this blog in the next 7 days. This remark applies especially to GLD and SLV. They are on […]

Dow Theory Update for June 30: The Transports have not confirmed yet

posted on: June 30, 2017

Trends remain unchanged Days pass by and nothing is accomplished technically, which is normal, as primary trends, as appraised by the Dow Theory, tend to last one or more years. To some extent, what we witnessed in the last few years (primary trends of shorter duration in both US indices, precious metals and their […]

Dow Theory Update for June 17: The Transports go on refusing to confirm the Industrial’s and S&P 500’s higher closing highs

posted on: June 17, 2017

GLD broke up its primary bull market high unconfirmed by SLV US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. The analysis I made in my last post of June 1st, 2017 remains fully valid. After June 1stthe Industrials and the S&P 500 have made marginally higher closing […]

Dow Theory Update for June 1st: The Industrials make higher closing highs and confirm the S&P 500

posted on: June 1, 2017

However, the Transports refuse to do so US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. Today the Industrials closed at 21144.18 that is above their March 1st closing highs of 21115.55. And thus confirming the S&P 500 breakout of May 10th. However, the Transports are lagging behind, […]

Dow Theory Update for May 15: SLV and GLD under secondary reaction against primary bull market

posted on: May 15, 2017

Trend for stocks unchanged I am writing early in the morning before the open of May 15th. So things might change by the today’s close. US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. The secondary trend is bearish (secondary reaction against the primary bull market). The secondary […]

Dow Theory Update for May 4: Last April 24th US stocks set up for a primary bear market signal

posted on: May 4, 2017

Silver and Gold close to signaling secondary reaction I am writing early in the morning before the open of May 4th. I apologize for not writing more often. My mother’s health remains extremely fragile, and hence most of my time is being devoted to taking care of her. However, I look at the charts every […]

Dow Theory Update for April 20th: Secondary Reaction for US Stocks signaled on April 13th.

posted on: April 20, 2017

Trends in precious metals unchanged US STOCKS The primary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. On April 13th, the Industrials declined more than 3% (from their March 1st, 2017 closing highs). Since the Transports had already declined more than 3%, the extent requirement for a secondary reaction to […]

Dow Theory Update for April 12: Primary bull market signaled for Silver and Gold today

posted on: April 12, 2017

Trends for precious metals ETFs and US stocks unchanged US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. On March 1, 2017, the Industrials, Transports and SPY made jointly higher highs. Since then the Industrials, Transports and SPY have declined. The decline for the Transports has […]

Dow Theory Update for April 6: Trends unchanged

posted on: April 6, 2017

No secondary reaction for stocks yet US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. On March 1, 2017, the Industrials, Transports and SPY made jointly higher highs. Since then the Industrials, Transports and SPY have declined. The decline for the Transports has hitherto lasted 14 […]

Dow Theory Update for March 28: Have we seen the top for US stocks?

posted on: March 28, 2017

Subsequent advances following a primary bull market signal and what does this means for us now I am writing before the close of March 28th. So things might change (unlikely) after the close. So readers beware and do your own homework. US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as […]

Dow Theory Update for March 21: Secondary reaction for US stocks NOT signaled today

posted on: March 21, 2017

Trends in precious metals and their miners unchanged too US STOCKS The primary and secondary trend is bullish since November 21st, 2016, as explained here and here. On March 1, 2017, the Industrials, Transports and SPY made jointly higher highs. Since then the Industrials, Transports and SPY have declined. The decline has hitherto lasted 14 […]