Category: Insights

Dow Theory update for Sept 28: Markets down with no technical consequences

posted on: September 28, 2012

It was Charles Dow, father of the Dow Theory, who said that in the world of investing you have to “exercise enough patience for six men.” He meant by this that the markets don’t accommodate our wishes and even the best laid out investment plan may take time to materialize. The Dow Theorist investing along […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 27: Bull markets don’t die easily

posted on: September 27, 2012

Gold and Silver on the verge of breaking out prior highs Today all markets I monitor closed up. What else can I say? The primary bull market remains intact and the long awaited secondary correction (which would be a good opportunity for latecomers to be long stocks and precious metals as you can read here) […]

Do the Transports still matter under Dow Theory?

posted on: September 27, 2012

Should other indices be included? What indices should be taken into account in order to apply Dow Theory? This is a thorny issue where disagreement reigns among the Dow Theorist fraternity. I hope this blog helps little by little to set the record straight. This post is a small contribution to this noble end. Some […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 26: Finally, we get a 3% pullback

posted on: September 26, 2012

However, precious metals still resilient The three stock indices I monitor closed down for the day and we get some news which I would label of “tertiary” importance. I see three kinds of movements. The first is the primary trend or primary movement which may span more than one year. The second one is the […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 25: All markets down. No technical damage yet

posted on: September 25, 2012

Talk about resilience!! The long awaited secondary reaction hasn’t materialized yet, all the big declines of today notwithstanding. Today all the markets we monitor closed down. However, as I noted yesterday, not even a minor insignificant low has been broken yet. I quote from yesterday’s post which you can find here However, the decline experienced […]

5 Reasons why I consider the stock market in a primary bull market

posted on: September 24, 2012

Restating the bullish case as per Dow Theory among pervasive bearishness Today I became more convinced than ever of the motto “bull markets always climb a wall of worry”. Most of the commentators are outright bearish. Some of them on a fundamental basis (“the world is going to end”, “QE will further destroy the economy”, […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 24: Not even a secondary reaction…yet

posted on: September 24, 2012

Today has been a mildly down day. Both the SPY and the Industrials closed down. The Transports, again diverging, closed slightly up for the day. Since Sept 14 the stock market has been unable to make new highs. However, the decline experienced until now is so mild that even the last minor recorded lows (they […]

Plain vanilla Dow Theory? Or does Dow Theory come in many flavors? III

posted on: September 22, 2012

Part III. Jack Schannep and “The Dow Theory.com Newsletter” Continued from this post: http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2012/09/plain-vanilla-dow-theory-or-does-dow_19.html And the latest addition to the “Dow Theory’s Hall of Fame” is Jack Schannep. He started in the ninety sixties as a stock broker with Dean Witter in Phoenix. In 1962 he created a market timing letter which was almost privately […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 21: Transports give a warning

posted on: September 21, 2012

However, both primary and secondary movement remain bullish As to the stock market, the Industrials, SPY and the Transports, all finished down for the day. Technically, the SPY and Industrials keep being very close to their last recorded highs, so nothing has changed. The Transports violated today the last significant low (which was the lows […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 20: Bull market continues

posted on: September 20, 2012

Today was another day without changes. Both the primary and secondary trend of the markets we monitor, namely, S&P, Industrials, Transports, Gold, Silver and their respective ETF miners continues unchanged. The Industrials closed slightly higher establishing a new record high since the inception of the primary bull market on June 4 (signaled by the Dow […]

Dow Theory update for Sept 19: Bullish trends intact

posted on: September 19, 2012

Today has been another day with negligible movements. All the three indices (Transports, Industrials and S&P) we monitor under Dow Theory closed slightly up for the day. All of them are under the 09/14/2012 highs. Volume has slightly higher than yesterday’s (which was a mildly down day), so the bullish pattern of volume continues. Gold […]

Plain vanilla Dow Theory? Or does Dow Theory come in many flavors? II

posted on: September 19, 2012

Part II. Richard Russell and his Dow Theory Letters. Continued from this post http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2012/09/plain-vanilla-dow-theory-or-does-dow.html Russell is a living legend. He is greatly influenced by Schaefer but, in my opinion, Russell is more pragmatic and, without meaning disrespect for Schaefer, a more rounded up Dow Theorist and investor. If you read Schaefer’s book you’ll see that, […]