Category: Stock Picking

Some Lessons I Have Learned as a Quantitative Trader

posted on: June 17, 2026

Outperformance Comes in Bursts, Pain Comes in Stretches What follows is based on my own experience as a quantitative trader. Other quants, using different models, different universes, or different constraints, may have reached different conclusions. One of the first lessons I have learned is the importance of understanding the universe one is trading. I run […]

Earnings Beat Valuations: Why the U.S. Still Leads

posted on: June 5, 2026

Do Not Underestimate America’s Earnings Machine Do you remember when, just a few months ago, many experts insisted that U.S. stocks were too expensive, while Europe, and even China, offered the real value? I never bought into that thesis. At the time, I wrote several posts (here, here, here and here) warning that so-called “cheap” […]

The Four Industrial Revolutions: Why AI Changes Market Timing Forever

posted on: March 10, 2026

AI makes market timing more necessary than ever. By George Morton, Ph.D The stock market has always reflected the underlying economy, but not all economic transitions are created equal. Over the past 250 years, four industrial revolutions have reshaped how value is created, who captures it, and how fast leadership changes hands. For investors, the […]

When Market Timing Meets Quant Research: The Results Speak for Themselves

posted on: October 17, 2025

How world-class quant research and timing filters slash drawdowns and boost returns. What happens when you combine a strong stock-picking strategy with first-class trend following? Something remarkable happens: returns surge, drawdowns shrink, and consistency improves dramatically. That’s exactly what the two charts below reveal. This article was originally a brief social media post, but the […]