Category: Crypto/Bitcoin

Crypto at a Crossroads: Bitcoin’s Bear Trend, MicroStrategy’s Risk, and What Comes Next

posted on: March 10, 2025

Is the bearish trend for Bitcoin nearing its end? Does MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation pose a hidden risk? And what is the broader crypto space really trying to tell us right now? Had an awesome time joining Alessio Rastani once again—this time diving deep into the world of Bitcoin, crypto trends, and what might be […]

The Principle of Confirmation can save your skin (III). Example 3: Bitcoin breakup turned into a bull trap

posted on: February 17, 2025

Applying the Confirmation Principle to Cryptocurrencies Two earlier analyses (HERE and HERE) demonstrated the effectiveness of the confirmation principle when applied to U.S. stock indexes and bonds, highlighting its value in avoiding trading fakeouts. This principle suggests that a new high or low unconfirmed by another asset or index has a high probability of failing. […]

Bullish again: Bull market signal for Bitcoin and Ethereum triggered on 11/7/24

posted on: November 14, 2024

It took a while for Ethereum to confirm Bitcoin, but it happened at last. Let’s recap the technical landscape for Bitcoin. Bitcoin and Ethereum made their last bear market lows on 8/5/24. A rally followed such lows until 8/23/24 (Ethereum) and 8/26/24 (Bitcoin). Such a rally qualified as a secondary reaction against the bearish trend. […]

Gold and Silver Surge: Dow Theory Confirms Bullish Primary Trend on 5/17/24.

posted on: May 18, 2024

Overview: Higher confirmed highs by SLV and GLD (silver and gold) have reaffirmed the primary bull market. The secondary reaction is over. The most recent pullback in the gold and silver miners’ ETFs (GDX and SIL) was so modest that it did not qualify as a secondary reaction. So, a bull in full gear. General […]

Alessio Rastani Features TheDowTheory.com: Update on the technical landscape for Bitcoin and Ethereum

posted on: April 29, 2024

Alessio Rastani has a knack for making excellent and content-rich videos. As a follower of Alessio’s work for many years, I can attest that he tends to be on the right side of the markets most of the time. In his latest video, he delves into the current technical landscape of Bitcoin and Ethereum. I’m […]

Warning: Bearish alert for Bitcoin and Ethereum

posted on: April 24, 2024

Dow Theory and basic trendline analysis tell us that trouble is brewing with Bitcoin. In my April 1st, 2024 Crypto Report (available only to Subscribers), I wrote that “if Ethereum and Bitcoin jointly pierced the 3/20/23 lows, I would turn bearish”. ETHE decisively violated its 3/20/24 lows on 4/12/24 and continued lower for two days. […]

Trend following works with crypto. Interview.

posted on: December 27, 2023

I thank Alexandra Overgaag and David Fernandez for having me on Thrilld Labs, a free and open-access business app that allows Web3 projects, professional investors, developers, and Web3 service providers from around the world to find each other and talk synergies in a streamlined manner. In the interview, I showed that trend-following can also be […]

Decoding Bitcoin’s Path: A Rule of 7 Exploration with Alessio Rastani

posted on: November 9, 2023

Join me in a candid Bitcoin discussion with Alessio Rastani. We explore future price objectives using the Rule of 7 and delve into when market corrections might occur. Check out the full interview by clicking the image below for insightful analysis.