Category: Insights

Dow Theory Update for April 2: Primary and secondary trends continue unchanged

posted on: April 2, 2015

Lull in the markets Days pass by and trends don’t change. No Dow Theorist ever promised that applying the Dow Theory is going to be thrilling. It is dry, and does not lend itself to fancy and entertaining reading. US Stocks remain caught in a narrow range, which seems to be getting narrower for the […]

Dow Theory Update for March 30: Gary Antonacci, of Dual Momentum, joins the Dow Theory Letters

posted on: March 30, 2015

Primary and secondary trends remain unchanged I have praised Gary Antonacci, of Dual Momentum, and his book, in the past. I am very frank to you: If I suddenly forgot all about the Dow Theory, I’d surely follow the approach expounded by Gary Antonacci. He’s clearly a trend follower, and the methods he uses are […]

Dow Theory Update for March 25: Gold, silver and their ETF’s miners are setting up for a primary bear market signal.

posted on: March 25, 2015

Is it a secular bull or bear market? Barry Ritholtz of the “Big Picture” finance blog, has written an interesting article concerning secular bull and bear markets. He, as this blogger truly yours, withholds judgment and merely portrays the different opinions. He quotes many names of market observers such as such as Raymond James’s […]

Dow Theory Update for March 18: Primary and secondary trends unchanged in spite of today’s volatility

posted on: March 18, 2015

Another short Dow Theory update. Today we saw fireworks in the markets. US stocks, gold, silver and their miners ETFs closed strongly up. However, when looked through Dow Theory glasses nothing has been accomplished, and no trend has been changed. Therefore, the analysis I made here, remains unchanged. Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for March 17: Precious metals continue flirting with primary bear market signal.

posted on: March 17, 2015

No secondary reaction for stocks signaled yet (or never) Very brief update. What I wrote in my last post, remains fully valid. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/03/dow-theory-update-for-march-12-primary.html Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for March 12: Primary trend for Gold, Silver and their miners ETFs could change soon

posted on: March 12, 2015

Are US Stocks under a secondary reaction? Not yet. Time remains in very short supply, so let’s encapsulate the vital information. I am writing before the close. So some of my musings could be altered after the close. US STOCKS The SPY and the Industrials have been declining for 7 days. The Transports declined for […]

Dow Theory Update for March 7: Trends for stocks and precious metals remain unchanged

posted on: March 7, 2015

Time is once again in very short supply, so I haven’t been able to post much of late. However, trends have not changed, since my last post last week. Not even secondary ones. Thus, US stocks, remain in a primary bull market. The secondary trend is bullish, if we are to follow my own interpretation […]

Dow Theory Update for February 28: Primary bull market for stocks reconfirmed

posted on: February 28, 2015

However, I’d like it better if the Transports deigned to confirm the SPY and Industrials US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. The SPY bettered on February 12nd its primary bull market closing highs. The Industrials confirmed on February 20th. The Transports have not confirmed yet. So what should I say? Has the […]

Dow Theory Special Issue: Dow Theory versus Moving Averages

posted on: February 20, 2015

Which is a better timing system? The post you are going to read was overdue, as it is vital for any trend follower. I could finally find some time to put some ideas together. It is well known that moving averages (hereinafter, “MA”) are used by investors to help “timing” the markets. So, as with […]

Dow Theory Update for February 19: Secondary reaction for silver and gold miners ETFs signaled today

posted on: February 19, 2015

The Industrials and Transports have not confirmed SPY’s higher highs yet If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary […]

Dow Theory Update for February 18: Industrials and Transports refuse to confirm SPY’s higher highs.

posted on: February 18, 2015

If you are interested in knowing how the Dow Theory fared in 2014 with stocks and precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/p/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, and Transports closed up. The Industrials closed down. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows. On Friday 30, the Transports did […]

Dow Theory Update for February 13: Are Gold and Silver miners ETFs under a secondary reaction?

posted on: February 13, 2015

Primary trends have not changed. If you are interested in knowing how did the Dow Theory fare in 2014 with the precious metals, you might be interested in this post. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/02/dow-theory-special-issue-putting-2014.html US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. On Thursday, January 29, the Industrials violated their secondary reaction lows (which puts us very […]