Category: Insights

Dow Theory Special Issue: “Internal” confirmation embedded in the Dow Theory: Time should confirm extent and viceversa. Therein lies its force.

posted on: April 29, 2015

Moving averages, Breakout strategies, etc. are no match for the Dow Theory No new from the markets. Primary and secondary trends unchanged. And hence, I will further cogitate about the Dow Theory. Such moments of market lull are good to rethink one’s premises. The more I know the entrails of the Dow Theory, the more […]

Dow Theory Update for April 21: Dow Theory, Trend following, noise and non parametric systems

posted on: April 21, 2015

Nothing has changed. Primary and Secondary trends remain the same. Trends have not changed. So what I wrote in my last post remains valid. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/04/dow-theory-update-for-april-10-trends.html So let’s take advantage of the lack of news, to ponder a bit about trends, their nature and how to make money out of them. Now we have time […]

Dow Theory Update for April 10: Trends unchanged

posted on: April 10, 2015

More on Gary Antonacci One gentle reader recommended me this interview with Gary Antonacci. I recommend it to the readers of this Dow Theory blog too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z-LmujiWPTs If I were to forget all about the Dow Theory, dual momentum would be my choice without hesitation. Furthermore, one could have two different portfolios: The first one, […]

Dow Theory Update: This is getting boring; but nobody said that investing should be fun. It must be profitable

posted on: April 9, 2015

Primary and secondary trends unchanged. This is getting boring. Weeks pass by and US Stocks, gold, silver and their miners ETFs have not changed their trends. We remain disciplined and continue watching the markets. So what I wrote in my last post (and links pertaining thereto) remains fully valid. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/04/dow-theory-update-for-april-2-primary.html Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for April 2: Primary and secondary trends continue unchanged

posted on: April 2, 2015

Lull in the markets Days pass by and trends don’t change. No Dow Theorist ever promised that applying the Dow Theory is going to be thrilling. It is dry, and does not lend itself to fancy and entertaining reading. US Stocks remain caught in a narrow range, which seems to be getting narrower for the […]

Dow Theory Update for March 30: Gary Antonacci, of Dual Momentum, joins the Dow Theory Letters

posted on: March 30, 2015

Primary and secondary trends remain unchanged I have praised Gary Antonacci, of Dual Momentum, and his book, in the past. I am very frank to you: If I suddenly forgot all about the Dow Theory, I’d surely follow the approach expounded by Gary Antonacci. He’s clearly a trend follower, and the methods he uses are […]

Dow Theory Update for March 25: Gold, silver and their ETF’s miners are setting up for a primary bear market signal.

posted on: March 25, 2015

Is it a secular bull or bear market? Barry Ritholtz of the “Big Picture” finance blog, has written an interesting article concerning secular bull and bear markets. He, as this blogger truly yours, withholds judgment and merely portrays the different opinions. He quotes many names of market observers such as such as Raymond James’s […]

Dow Theory Update for March 18: Primary and secondary trends unchanged in spite of today’s volatility

posted on: March 18, 2015

Another short Dow Theory update. Today we saw fireworks in the markets. US stocks, gold, silver and their miners ETFs closed strongly up. However, when looked through Dow Theory glasses nothing has been accomplished, and no trend has been changed. Therefore, the analysis I made here, remains unchanged. Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for March 17: Precious metals continue flirting with primary bear market signal.

posted on: March 17, 2015

No secondary reaction for stocks signaled yet (or never) Very brief update. What I wrote in my last post, remains fully valid. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2015/03/dow-theory-update-for-march-12-primary.html Sincerely, The Dow Theorist

Dow Theory Update for March 12: Primary trend for Gold, Silver and their miners ETFs could change soon

posted on: March 12, 2015

Are US Stocks under a secondary reaction? Not yet. Time remains in very short supply, so let’s encapsulate the vital information. I am writing before the close. So some of my musings could be altered after the close. US STOCKS The SPY and the Industrials have been declining for 7 days. The Transports declined for […]

Dow Theory Update for March 7: Trends for stocks and precious metals remain unchanged

posted on: March 7, 2015

Time is once again in very short supply, so I haven’t been able to post much of late. However, trends have not changed, since my last post last week. Not even secondary ones. Thus, US stocks, remain in a primary bull market. The secondary trend is bullish, if we are to follow my own interpretation […]

Dow Theory Update for February 28: Primary bull market for stocks reconfirmed

posted on: February 28, 2015

However, I’d like it better if the Transports deigned to confirm the SPY and Industrials US STOCKS The SPY, Industrials, and Transports closed down. The SPY bettered on February 12nd its primary bull market closing highs. The Industrials confirmed on February 20th. The Transports have not confirmed yet. So what should I say? Has the […]