Category: Daily update

Dow Theory Update for Oct 10: Secondary trend for stocks turned finally bearish.

posted on: October 10, 2012

The Industrials and the SPY violated the lows of the line. Markets were made to befuddle as many investors as possible. However, armed with the Dow Theory, we can in most instances avoid being fooled by the markets and be on the right side and, when occasionally wrong, keep our losses contained. So what did […]

Dow Theory update for Oct 9: All markets down. No change in trend

posted on: October 9, 2012

Industrials and SPY still caught within the line. What’s the current condition of the stock market? On October 3, this Dow Theory blog alerted about the formation of a “line” which is relevant under Dow Theory. Please re-read my post in this blog “Stock markets forming a „line’: What does it mean under Dow […]

Dow Theory update for Oct 8: Primary and even secondary trend remain bullish

posted on: October 8, 2012

Transports display greater relative strength. Let’s get started with our Dow Theory analysis for today. I will start, as usual with the stocks markets. Today the alleged “moribund” Transports closed up while the Industrials and the SPY closed down for the day. So, again, the Transports are displaying greater relative strength than its index […]

Dow Theory update for Oct 5: Mixed day. Stocks up. PMs universe down.

posted on: October 5, 2012

Primary and secondary movement remains bullish Today was a calm day which did not change the technical picture which remains bullish long and short term for stocks, gold, silver and their miners. This is the way I see things according to the Dow Theory: No changes. The only thing worth mentioning are long-term bonds whose […]

Dow Theory Update for Oct 4: Very bullish day. Important market action

posted on: October 4, 2012

Secondary reaction in gold and silver definitely avoided. Under Dow Theory today it was a relevant day because market action has clearly aborted the incipient secondary reaction in the gold and silver markets. More on this below. Today was a clearly bullish day. All the markets we monitor closed up for the day. The Industrials […]

Dow Theory update for Oct 3: Watch out the miners!

posted on: October 3, 2012

Nonetheless, primary trend remains bullish Today the S&P, Industrials and Transports all closed up. So it seems that the secondary reaction fails to materialize. However, I’m starting to discern a pattern that under Dow Theory has significance. The Industrials and the SPY seem to be forming a “line”. Later today or early tomorrow I […]

Dow Theory update for October 2: Mixed day. No news.

posted on: October 2, 2012

Today the Transports and the SPY closed up. The Industrials closed down. So we had a mixed day with no consequences. So there is nothing new under the Dow Theory. Therefore, what I wrote earlier today “Dissecting a secondary reaction under Dow Theory” about the non existence of a secondary reaction remains valid and unchanged. […]

Dow Theory update for October 1: Markets up. No technical changes…yet

posted on: October 1, 2012

A secondary correction may happen any time now On Friday, Sept 28, the stock market had been trending lower for the last 10 trading days (for the SPY and Transports). This is the minimum time requirement for a secondary reaction to exist. However, for a secondary reaction to exist it is necessary that two of […]